When the news broke that the SEC was suing Ripple, it was a real attention-grabber. They went straight for the knockout punch with accusations that Ripple illegally sold XRP tokens as an unregistered security instead of a cryptocurrency. The SEC was all up in Ripple’s grill. If the SEC wins this, it could also open the floodgates to label many altcoins as securities.
This SEC lawsuit sent some serious shockwaves through the crypto world. This beef between Ripple and the regulators has been brewing for a while. This isn’t just a little poke at Ripple and XRP. The SEC went straight mercenary on them with this attack.
Makes one wonder who the SEC will set its sights on next in the crypto space. Because that Ripple case seems like a direct hit to the larger crypto industry. No doubt about it.
The Rejected SEC Settlement Offer
The regulator offered a settlement deal with two key components:
- The SEC would publicly announce that XRP is considered a security under US law. This would essentially be declaring Ripple guilty of conducting an unregistered securities sale.
- The announcement would have a “short window” for XRP market participants to “come into compliance.” This likely means registering XRP as a security or facing penalties.
Ripple rejected this settlement offer for two main reasons:
- Ripple maintains that XRP is not a security.** The company did not want to admit wrongdoing when it firmly believed XRP is a currency akin to Bitcoin or Ether.
- No clear crypto compliance framework exists.** Ripple likely rejected the offer also because there is currently no established framework in the US on registering and handling crypto assets as securities.
So, in Ripple’s view, accepting the deal would falsely paint XRP as an illegal security without providing proper guidance on coming into compliance anyway.
Why Ripple Wanted to Fight the Lawsuit
By rejecting the SEC’s offer, Ripple decided to fight the regulator in court in a high-stakes legal battle that could set major precedents. Why?
Alderoty said Ripple wanted to prove two key points through the litigation:
- Prove XRP is not a security.Ripple firmly contends that XRP is a “neutral bridge currency” in its cross-border payment network. Fighting the lawsuit is an avenue to get this distinction ruled as a matter of law.
- Challenge the SEC’s lack of crypto guidance. Ripple also wants to challenge the SEC’s practice of regulating crypto through enforcement lawsuits without publishing clear guidance.
Ripple is fighting for major regulatory clarity for XRP and all cryptocurrencies. The case outcome could remove the regulatory uncertainty surrounding crypto in the United States.
Current Status of Ripple v. SEC Lawsuit
Here’s a quick status update:
No clear winner yet
Despite minor Ripple wins forcing disclosures, there is no clear winner. The central question of whether XRP classifies as a security remains undecided until trial. Both parties face risk depending on how the case plays out.
The lawsuit is a landmark first-of-its-kind for crypto, so many in the industry are watching closely. But regulatory uncertainty remains for XRP and other altcoins while the case drags on towards trial next year.
XRP Price Faces Downward Pressure Despite Lawsuit News
According to some analysts, the recent news of the SEC’s settlement offer reveals their weak position against Ripple. *Despite this optimism, XRP still faces bearish price signals based on key on-chain metrics.* Let’s analyse further:
XRP Whales Accumulating
First, data shows large XRP investors accumulating tokens over the past week. According to analytics firm Santiment, wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP added 420 million tokens in the last week alone.
Typically, whales accumulating is viewed as a bullish sign showing the confidence of large holders. *However, in the case of XRP, Santiment says whale accumulation combines with sell signals to create downward pressure.*
Increase in Realized Profits
The key metric producing bearish signals is “Network Realised Profit/Loss.” This metric calculates whether current XRP holders are in a state of realised profit or loss based on their cost basis.
When realised profits rise with more whales holding heavier XRP bags, it often precedes falling prices. Hence, selling volume is likely outpacing buying demand.
Transaction Count Growth Slowing
Finally, XRP transaction counts show declining momentum after a spike in activity. Transaction count often correlates with increased utility and demand growth for a crypto asset.
Despite Ripple’s confident legal position against the SEC, XRP still faces technical risks of a deeper price pullback ahead. Traders should watch key support levels around $0.50 that, if broken, could accelerate selling. The legal news and whale accumulation provide bullish potential in the longer term. But short-term signals urge caution as XRP may continue underperforming the broader crypto market.